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Current Waves and Forecast

Forecast & Current Observations (After 10AM)

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Pioneers Board Shop

Last updated 13 May 2008 at 20:24

Wednesday - medium ENE swell fades to low-end medium levels.

Thursday - low-end medium ENE swell fades to small levels.

Friday - small ENE swell fades with tiny E/NE chop.

Saturday - small ENE chop & swell with a small S swell.

Sunday - tiny leftovers from the E with a small SW chop.



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LOCAL WINDS:

Wednesday - Light N to NE winds, may veer E towards dark.

Thursday - Light S winds with some moderate gusts on northern shores.

Friday - Light NE winds increase to moderate levels.

Saturday - Light W winds shift to SW and increase.

Sunday - Almost moderate WSW winds.

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DAILY FORECASTS:

14 Wednesday:
N of the Cape - medium ENE swell with 9-12 second periods slowly fades to low-end medium levels.
Cape – medium ENE swell with 9-12 second periods slowly fades to low-end medium levels.
S of the Cape – small ESE swell fades and small ENE swell with 10-12 second period for east facing locations with low-end medium size in the AM for select spots.

15 Thursday:
N of the Cape - low-end medium ENE swell with 10-13 second period fades to small levels.
Cape – medium ENE swell with 10-13 second period fades to small levels.
S of the Cape – small ENE swell with 10-13 second period for select spots with an occasional bigger set.

16 Friday:
N of the Cape - small ENE swell with 9-12 second period fades with a tiny ENE chop developing.
Cape – low-end medium ENE swell with 9-12 second period fades to small levels by dark with a tiny ENE chop developing.
S of the Cape – small SE swell with 7-9 second periods.

17 Saturday:
N of the Cape - tiny ENE swell with 9-11 second period with ENE chop developing for locations south of New Hampshire.
Cape – tiny ENE swell with 9-11 second period with ENE chop growing to small levels.
S of the Cape – small S swell with 7-10 second periods.

18 Sunday:
N of the Cape - tiny leftovers fade.
Cape – small leftovers fade to tiny levels.
S of the Cape – tiny SW chop builds to small levels.

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COLOR LEGEND:

YELLOW: small or medium surf with less than ideal conditions.
GREEN: medium surf with good conditions.
RED: large surf that requires caution, or dangerous conditions.

Some color is an estimate of "when" the scale is applicable.

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SIZE LEGEND:

Tiny: ankle to waist high and rideability is debatable.
Small: knee to chest high.
Medium: chest to well overhead.
Large: double overhead plus.

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WAVE SOURCE DISCUSSION:

UPDATED AT 7PM ON MAY 12 2008

1. 993MB low pressure system about 750 miles ENE of Cape Cod will continue to push 3-6 foot ENE swell with periods ranging from 9-12 seconds towards New England on Tuesday and Wednesday. This source will be hardly noticable due to the locally generated chop and more significant swell from the next system.

2. 990MB low pressure centered near 38N75W and another center with pressure around 989MB near 38N72W with max seas near 22 feet aimed towards the Virginia Capes. Tonight the lows merge and intensifies and moves NE with winds reaching 50 knots and seas developing into the low 20's. Tuesday morning the system should be 300 miles to the SSE of Nantucket with 40-50 knot NE winds on the northern side and 30-40 knot ESE winds on the eastern side. Wednesday the system moves ESE and peak intensity should have occurred, however due to the latitude remaining to our south, the northern side of the system should continue to have ample ENE/NE winds aiming seas towards New England. Thursday the system is 450 miles to the SE of Cape Cod and winds diminish to 25-25 knots sending additional but small swell towards New England.

3. Cold Front: A very weak front approaches New England on Thursday morning with an area of low pressure forming near Delmarva Pennisula. The front clears our area by Friday morning.

4. Another low: Low pressure may develop to our south but with an orientation that isn't likely to generate much more than chop. By Saturday the system gains strength and the chop becomes semi-organized swell.

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LONG TERM DISCUSSION:


UPDATED AT 5PM ON MAY 11 2008

Continuation of the active pattern with an average spacing of 3-4 days per event seems likely well into May. Typically as we head into Spring the intensity of systems will start to diminish, however overall hemispheric conditions support higher than average confidence for continued optimism.

It is possible that sometime in the next 2-6 weeks that a long period southern hemisphere swell will arrive in New England. Hopefully NDBC will finish its April maintenance in May so that we have a full fleet of buoys to capture this action.

Tropical season is approaching and conditions in the tropical pacific are showing signs of a relaxing La Nina with a possible neutral index in the middle of the Summer. Analysis of NCEP CFS forecasts show that model guidance likes to "friend the trend" and so the current idea of heading towards a El Nino is now appearing on most models so the ensemble is going that way as well.

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UPDATE SCHEDULE:

Short term update every morning.

Mid-grade update most evenings.

Major update a few times a week.

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Warning! The forecasts are based on predictive models, check the current wave observations or call the store reports before heading out.
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Current Observations

North of the Cape (For waves from S to NE and winds from NW to SW)
-Ogunquit, ME by Liquid Dreams Surf Shop
-Hampton, NH by Pioneers Board Shop
-Hampton, NH by Surfline
-Seabrook, NH - Zapstix's surf report: (603) 474 7873
-Good Harbor - Gloucester, MA by sUrfari
-Marblehead, MA - Brickhouse Surf Report
-Hull, MA - Northeastsurfing.com
-Scituate, MA (Various Breaks) by NorEaster

The Cape (For waves from N to SE and WNW to SW winds)
-Nauset Beach to Cahoon Hollow, MA by Nauset Sports
-Lecount by Sick Day Surf
-Coast Guard Beach Cam

The Islands
-Cisco Beach - Nantucket, MA by sUrfari
-South Beach - Martha's Vineyard, MA by MV's Coastal Observatory

South of the Cape I (S to SW breaks - look for NW to NE winds)
-Second Beach - Middletown, RI by Elemental
-Second Beach - Middletown, RI - Waterbros' Surf Report (401) 848 WAVE

South of the Cape II (E  to SSE breaks - look for WSW to NW winds)
-Town Beach - Narragansett, RI by Surfline

To Check Tides & To Double Check Conditions Use These Links
Tide Charts
More Phone Reports (from New England's Surf Stores)
(Note: Web Store Reports that update infrequently are at the bottom of this page.)

Usage Terms

Disclaimer: NESurf.com makes no express or implied warranties or affirmations as to the safety or surfability of surf spots, waves, wind or general weather depicted in the reports, forecasts, graphics, surf spots or any other information implied, represented or depicted through its site (whether generated by NESurf.com or linked to from NESurf.com). In addition, NESurf.com makes no express or implied warranties or affirmations that waves, winds or weather will occur or have occurred as the reports, forecasts, graphics, or other information on the site represent or depict. Furthermore, NESurf.com has no responsibility or liability whatsoever to the user or any other person or entity for any injuries or harm resulting from the use of the information contained in the site. NESurf.com also has no responsibility or liability whatsoever to the user or any other person or entity, for any inconsistency, inaccuracy, or omission on the site. NESURF.COM, MAKES NO WARRANTIES HERE UNDER, AND THIS DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTIES INCLUDES, BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO, THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. Surf Reports Usage Directions:

  1. Unless otherwise stated the Reports apply to the whole New England coast (from Maine to Rhode Island). N of the Cape = from the Massachusetts South Shore to Northern Maine. Cape = Massachusetts' Cape Cod. S of the Cape = Rhode Island. S of RI = Long Island. "Offshore" = Mostly refers to Nantucket, but depending on swell direction it can also apply to Block Island and Martha's Vineyard.
  2. To determine which breaks will have surfable conditions compare the swell direction to the table in the Surf Spots page or look at the information on the spots pages. Note: ground swell tends to wraparound better and is rideable on a wider spectrum of breaks than wind swell.
  3. All breaks have special characteristics. Some of these are depicted in the Spots section but it will take some practice and personal knowledge of several spots to determine which break best suit your needs and the conditions. Explore!

State

Beach

Surf Shop

Report#

Shop#

ME Kennebunk Aquaholics Surf Shop  
207 967 8650
ME Wells Wheels N Waves  
207 646 5774
ME Ogunquit Liquid Dreams  
207 641 2545
ME Old Orchard Beach Huge Surf  
207 934 1382
NH Hampton Beach Cinnamon Rainbows
603 926 9283
603 929 7467
NH Hampton Beach Pioneers Board Shop
603 929 7433
603 964 7714
NH Seabrook Zapstix  
603 474 7873
MA Marblehead Brickhouse
781 639 2947
781 639 4531
MA Hull Wear & Tear
781 925 9283
781 925 3666
MA Scituate NorEaster
781 544 4610
781 544 9283
MA Marshfield Levitate Surf & Skate
781 834 2756
781 834 2755
MA Orleans Pumphouse
508 240 2229
508 240 2226
MA Eastham Jaspers  
508 255 2662
MA South Wellfleet Sick Day Surf  
508 214 4158
MA Nauset Beach Nauset Sports
508 255 4742
508 255 4742
MA Nantucket Indian Summer  
508 228 3632
RI Newport Elemental
401 841 5160
401 846 2280
RI Newport Waterbros
401 848 WAVE
RI Narragansett Gansett Juice
401 789 1954
401 789 7890
RI Narragansett Warm Winds
401 789 7020
401 789 9040
RI Westerly Ride A Wave
401 596 0919
401 596 7722

Complete listing of Online Store Wave Reports

Wells, ME by Wheels N Waves
Ogunquit, ME by Liquid Dreams Surf Shop
Maine by ME Surf Info
The Wall - Hampton, NH by Pioneers Board Shop
Hampton, NH by Surfline
Marblehead, MA by Brickhouse
Good Harbor - Gloucester, MA by N.E. sUrfari
Scituate, MA (Various Breaks) by NorEaster
Marshfield, MA by Levitate Surf and Skate
Wellfleet, MA by Mozzie
Nauset Beach to Cahoon Hollow - Cape Cod, MA by Nauset Sports
Cisco Beach - Nantucket, MA by sUrfari
South Beach - Martha's Vineyard, MA by MV's Coastal Observatory
Second Beach - Middletown, RI by Elemental
Town Beach - Narragansett, RI by Warm Winds
Town Beach - Narragansett, RI by Surfline
Town Beach - Narragansett, RI by Gansett Juice


Current Waves and Winds

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