Current Waves and Forecast
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Last updated 13 May 2008 at 20:24
Wednesday - medium ENE swell fades to low-end medium levels.
Thursday - low-end medium ENE swell fades to small levels.
Friday - small ENE swell fades with tiny E/NE chop.
Saturday - small ENE chop & swell with a small S swell.
Sunday - tiny leftovers from the E with a small SW chop.
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LOCAL WINDS:
Wednesday - Light N to NE winds, may veer E towards dark.
Thursday - Light S winds with some moderate gusts on northern shores.
Friday - Light NE winds increase to moderate levels.
Saturday - Light W winds shift to SW and increase.
Sunday - Almost moderate WSW winds.
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DAILY FORECASTS:
14 Wednesday:
N of the Cape - medium ENE swell with 9-12 second periods slowly fades to low-end medium levels.
Cape – medium ENE swell with 9-12 second periods slowly fades to low-end medium levels.
S of the Cape – small ESE swell fades and small ENE swell with 10-12 second period for east facing locations with low-end medium size in the AM for select spots.
15 Thursday:
N of the Cape - low-end medium ENE swell with 10-13 second period fades to small levels.
Cape – medium ENE swell with 10-13 second period fades to small levels.
S of the Cape – small ENE swell with 10-13 second period for select spots with an occasional bigger set.
16 Friday:
N of the Cape - small ENE swell with 9-12 second period fades with a tiny ENE chop developing.
Cape – low-end medium ENE swell with 9-12 second period fades to small levels by dark with a tiny ENE chop developing.
S of the Cape – small SE swell with 7-9 second periods.
17 Saturday:
N of the Cape - tiny ENE swell with 9-11 second period with ENE chop developing for locations south of New Hampshire.
Cape – tiny ENE swell with 9-11 second period with ENE chop growing to small levels.
S of the Cape – small S swell with 7-10 second periods.
18 Sunday:
N of the Cape - tiny leftovers fade.
Cape – small leftovers fade to tiny levels.
S of the Cape – tiny SW chop builds to small levels.
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COLOR LEGEND:
YELLOW: small or medium surf with less than ideal conditions.
GREEN: medium surf with good conditions.
RED: large surf that requires caution, or dangerous conditions.
Some color is an estimate of "when" the scale is applicable.
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SIZE LEGEND:
Tiny: ankle to waist high and rideability is debatable.
Small: knee to chest high.
Medium: chest to well overhead.
Large: double overhead plus.
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WAVE SOURCE DISCUSSION:
UPDATED AT 7PM ON MAY 12 2008
1. 993MB low pressure system about 750 miles ENE of Cape Cod will continue to push 3-6 foot ENE swell with periods ranging from 9-12 seconds towards New England on Tuesday and Wednesday. This source will be hardly noticable due to the locally generated chop and more significant swell from the next system.
2. 990MB low pressure centered near 38N75W and another center with pressure around 989MB near 38N72W with max seas near 22 feet aimed towards the Virginia Capes. Tonight the lows merge and intensifies and moves NE with winds reaching 50 knots and seas developing into the low 20's. Tuesday morning the system should be 300 miles to the SSE of Nantucket with 40-50 knot NE winds on the northern side and 30-40 knot ESE winds on the eastern side. Wednesday the system moves ESE and peak intensity should have occurred, however due to the latitude remaining to our south, the northern side of the system should continue to have ample ENE/NE winds aiming seas towards New England. Thursday the system is 450 miles to the SE of Cape Cod and winds diminish to 25-25 knots sending additional but small swell towards New England.
3. Cold Front: A very weak front approaches New England on Thursday morning with an area of low pressure forming near Delmarva Pennisula. The front clears our area by Friday morning.
4. Another low: Low pressure may develop to our south but with an orientation that isn't likely to generate much more than chop. By Saturday the system gains strength and the chop becomes semi-organized swell.
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LONG TERM DISCUSSION:
UPDATED AT 5PM ON MAY 11 2008
Continuation of the active pattern with an average spacing of 3-4 days per event seems likely well into May. Typically as we head into Spring the intensity of systems will start to diminish, however overall hemispheric conditions support higher than average confidence for continued optimism.
It is possible that sometime in the next 2-6 weeks that a long period southern hemisphere swell will arrive in New England. Hopefully NDBC will finish its April maintenance in May so that we have a full fleet of buoys to capture this action.
Tropical season is approaching and conditions in the tropical pacific are showing signs of a relaxing La Nina with a possible neutral index in the middle of the Summer. Analysis of NCEP CFS forecasts show that model guidance likes to "friend the trend" and so the current idea of heading towards a El Nino is now appearing on most models so the ensemble is going that way as well.
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UPDATE SCHEDULE:
Short term update every morning.
Mid-grade update most evenings.
Major update a few times a week.
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Warning! The
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Current Observations
North of the Cape (For waves from S to NE and winds from NW to SW)
-Ogunquit, ME by Liquid Dreams Surf Shop
-Hampton, NH by Pioneers Board Shop
-Hampton, NH by Surfline
-Seabrook, NH - Zapstix's surf report: (603) 474 7873
-Good Harbor - Gloucester, MA by sUrfari
-Marblehead,
MA - Brickhouse Surf Report
-Hull, MA - Northeastsurfing.com
-Scituate, MA (Various Breaks) by NorEaster
The Cape (For waves from N to SE and WNW to SW winds)
-Nauset Beach to Cahoon Hollow, MA by Nauset Sports
-Lecount by Sick Day Surf
-Coast Guard Beach Cam
The Islands
-Cisco Beach - Nantucket, MA by sUrfari
-South Beach - Martha's Vineyard, MA by MV's Coastal Observatory
South of the Cape I (S to SW breaks - look for NW to NE winds)
-Second Beach - Middletown, RI by Elemental
-Second Beach - Middletown, RI - Waterbros' Surf Report (401) 848 WAVE
South of the Cape II (E to SSE breaks - look for WSW to NW winds)
-Town Beach - Narragansett, RI by Surfline
To Check Tides & To Double Check Conditions Use These Links
Tide Charts
More Phone Reports (from New England's Surf Stores)
(Note: Web Store Reports that update infrequently are at the bottom of this page.)
Usage Terms
Disclaimer: NESurf.com makes no express or implied
warranties or affirmations as to the safety or surfability
of surf spots, waves, wind or general weather depicted
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FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. Surf Reports Usage
Directions:
- Unless otherwise stated the Reports apply to the
whole New England coast (from Maine to Rhode Island).
N of the Cape = from the Massachusetts South Shore
to Northern Maine. Cape = Massachusetts' Cape Cod.
S of the Cape = Rhode Island. S of RI = Long Island.
"Offshore" = Mostly refers to Nantucket, but depending
on swell direction it can also apply to Block Island
and Martha's Vineyard.
- To determine which breaks will have surfable conditions
compare the swell direction to the table in
the Surf Spots page
or look at the information on the spots pages. Note:
ground swell tends to wraparound better and is rideable
on a wider spectrum of breaks than wind swell.
- All breaks have special characteristics. Some
of these are depicted in the Spots section
but it will take some practice and personal knowledge
of several spots to determine which break best suit
your needs and the conditions. Explore!
| State |
Beach |
Surf Shop |
Report# |
Shop# |
| ME |
Kennebunk |
Aquaholics Surf Shop |
|
207 967 8650 |
| ME |
Wells |
Wheels
N Waves |
|
207 646 5774 |
| ME |
Ogunquit |
Liquid
Dreams |
|
207 641 2545 |
| ME |
Old Orchard Beach |
Huge Surf |
|
207 934 1382 |
| NH |
Hampton Beach |
Cinnamon
Rainbows |
603 926 9283 |
603 929 7467 |
| NH |
Hampton Beach |
Pioneers
Board Shop |
603 929 7433 |
603 964 7714 |
| NH |
Seabrook |
Zapstix |
|
603 474 7873 |
| MA |
Marblehead |
Brickhouse |
781 639 2947 |
781 639 4531 |
| MA |
Hull |
Wear & Tear |
781 925 9283 |
781 925 3666 |
| MA |
Scituate |
NorEaster |
781 544 4610 |
781 544 9283 |
| MA |
Marshfield |
Levitate
Surf & Skate |
781 834 2756 |
781 834 2755 |
| MA |
Orleans |
Pumphouse |
508 240 2229 |
508 240 2226 |
| MA |
Eastham |
Jaspers |
|
508 255 2662 |
| MA |
South Wellfleet |
Sick Day Surf |
|
508 214 4158 |
| MA |
Nauset Beach |
Nauset
Sports |
508 255 4742 |
508 255 4742 |
| MA |
Nantucket |
Indian Summer |
|
508 228 3632 |
| RI |
Newport |
Elemental |
401 841 5160 |
401 846 2280 |
| RI |
Newport |
Waterbros |
401 848 WAVE |
|
| RI |
Narragansett |
Gansett
Juice |
401 789 1954 |
401 789 7890 |
| RI |
Narragansett |
Warm
Winds |
401 789 7020 |
401 789 9040 |
| RI |
Westerly |
Ride A Wave |
401 596 0919 |
401 596 7722 |
Complete listing of Online
Store Wave Reports
Wells,
ME by Wheels N Waves
Ogunquit,
ME by Liquid Dreams Surf Shop
Maine by
ME Surf Info
The
Wall - Hampton, NH by Pioneers Board Shop
Hampton,
NH by Surfline
Marblehead,
MA by Brickhouse
Good
Harbor - Gloucester, MA by N.E. sUrfari
Scituate,
MA (Various Breaks) by NorEaster
Marshfield,
MA by Levitate Surf and Skate
Wellfleet, MA by Mozzie
Nauset
Beach to Cahoon Hollow - Cape Cod, MA by Nauset
Sports
Cisco
Beach - Nantucket, MA by sUrfari
South
Beach - Martha's Vineyard, MA by MV's Coastal Observatory
Second
Beach - Middletown, RI by Elemental
Town
Beach - Narragansett, RI by Warm Winds
Town
Beach - Narragansett, RI by Surfline
Town
Beach - Narragansett, RI by Gansett Juice |